Tag: interest rates

Neil Rose and Kawika Shoji share some thoughts on the current market environment. They touch on the election, other macro considerations, and extended trends in stock leadership.

Neil Rose and Kawika Shoji discuss the various strategies at Regency Capital and how they have done in the first three years of the firm.

Neil Rose explains why he's taking some profits and getting more defensive as investors continue to pump up stock valuations, especially Big Tech. Neil worries the markets are now depending on one big assumption, and the costs of being wrong are high.

Historically, mortgages have cost around 1.75% more than the benchmark 10-year Treasury note. Today, that spread is around 3.00%. That’s huge and likely not going to last. Something’s going to give—or break.

Neil Rose explains why anyone can manage cash like Warren Buffett. He explains how Treasury bills work and why they are a no-brainer for one’s cash reserves.

It can’t be overstated how powerful ultra-low interest rates have been for asset prices and wealth accumulation over the past four decades—and the bubbles. But perhaps it is now time to think how unsustainable constant intervention and stimulus are, despite government’s good intentions.

Neil Rose discusses the state of markets amid investors' expectations of an imminent recession.

An update on the current banking crisis and a list of frequently asked questions.

The article discusses the recent collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), which was the 16th largest bank in the US with $200 billion in assets at its peak. Neil Rose provides five thoughts on the bank's collapse.

Bottom line is it seems prudent not to bet on a soft landing consensus that might only exist in a time with lots of hope, denial, and jobs available everywhere.

Neil Rose and Arthur Mallet explain why the historic drop in bond prices—amid a bear market in stocks, no less—is raising longer-term income generation in Regency Capital portfolios.

Investors have noticed the correction in stocks and a growing chance of recession. However, the real carnage has come from the bond market. Neil Rose and Arthur Mallet discuss the ramifications of an asset class that's not as safe as people think.