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The First Step to Improving Luck is to Acknowledge that it Exists

The First Step to Improving Luck is to Acknowledge that it Exists
Acknowledging the role of luck is essential, especially when reflecting on our own paths. It’s a reminder that circumstances beyond our control play a significant role in shaping our lives.
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The P Word (Performance)

The P Word (Performance)
Neil Rose and Kawika Shoji discuss the various strategies at Regency Capital and how they have done in the first three years of the firm.
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The Elements of Value

The Elements of Value
It was a great year at Regency Capital. For me personally, I am learning, we are growing, and we continue to look for ways to improve. Part of this growth is to continually evaluate (kaizen) how we do things, our processes, and make sure we provide the value that clients deserve, value that also distinguishes us from competitors.
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3-Minute Update: Fading the Herd

3-Minute Update: Fading the Herd
Neil Rose explains why he's taking some profits and getting more defensive as investors continue to pump up stock valuations, especially Big Tech. Neil worries the markets are now depending on one big assumption, and the costs of being wrong are high.
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Reflections On a College Experience

Reflections On a College Experience
Despite several requests, I have been remiss in posting the note I had to submit with my induction into Harvard’s Varsity Club Hall of Fame back in November. They ask awardees to write some reflections on their college experience.
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Investment Commentary Q4 2023

Investment Commentary Q4 2023
Capital markets in 2023 showed investors’ resilience—or was it complacency? Clearer was yet another lesson on the dangers in following forecasts, especially those of policymakers, PhDs, and Wall Street strategists. The Fed’s interest rate hikes and tough inflation talk didn’t cause an “inevitable” 2023 recession after all.
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30-Second Note: Mortgage Mystery

30-Second Note: Mortgage Mystery
Historically, mortgages have cost around 1.75% more than the benchmark 10-year Treasury note. Today, that spread is around 3.00%. That’s huge and likely not going to last. Something’s going to give—or break.
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TIPS: The Best Value in Fixed Income?

TIPS: The Best Value in Fixed Income?
Are TIPS the best value in fixed income right now? Neil Rose explains why he recently added to holdings of inflation protected Treasurys.
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Anyone Can Manage Cash Like Warren Buffett

Anyone Can Manage Cash Like Warren Buffett
Neil Rose explains why anyone can manage cash like Warren Buffett. He explains how Treasury bills work and why they are a no-brainer for one’s cash reserves.
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Skin in the Game

Skin in the Game
Kawika Shoji discusses the importance of Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s concept of Skin in the Game and the power of identifying incentives and (often hidden) asymmetries.
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