Tag: interest rates

A snapshot of the data behind today’s market narrative. Whether you're bullish, bearish, or somewhere in between, these visuals offer a view of what’s shaping sentiment and strategy.

The S&P 500 may be hitting new highs, but the best value could lie in smaller, overlooked companies. Explore our 2025 small cap investing outlook, why these stocks may outperform, and how we’re positioning portfolios for quality, diversification, and long-term growth.

The national debt today is over $36 trillion, representing over 100% of GDP. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projects that the debt will exceed $52 trillion by 2035. And, if history repeats, actual numbers in 2035 will exceed estimates.

In my February 7, 2025 post, Bonds Have a Place Again, I reflected on interest rates some five years after the peak of the Bond Bubble—when interest rates reached a low never seen in human history—and two years after bond prices finally crashed in 2022. I had summarized our approach to fixed income going forward: […]

I don’t think anyone expected a quiet start to the new year, but I’m not sure anyone could have predicted the flurry of shocking news stories that have flooded our devices and timelines thus far in 2025.

In his 2011 book Debt: The First 500 Years, anthropologist David Graeber lays out the historical concept of debt, starting with the Sumer, the earliest known civilization, located in historical Mesopotamia around 3500 BCE.

2024 was another good year for stocks overall thanks to continued strength in just a handful of the largest technology and internet companies. The famed “Magnificent Seven” once again comprised the bulk of stocks’ overall returns.

Kawika Shoji and Neil Rose discuss the potential market reactions to a Trump or Harris win on election day.

Major Info Tech earnings announcements this week. Kawika Shoji gets some reactions and thoughts from Neil Rose on the tech sector now and going forward.

Returns this year have been kinder than I would have expected given our rather conservative positioning. Stock allocations have been lower than usual, with little in information technology and internet-related stocks, two areas that have accounted for the lion’s share of the stock market’s returns in recent years.

This week the Federal Reserve cut its short-term interest rate policy by half a percent to 4.75%-5.00%, marking an end to a two-year effort to recoup some of the excesses in Covid stimulus.

Neil Rose and Kawika Shoji share some thoughts on the current market environment. They touch on the election, other macro considerations, and extended trends in stock leadership.