5 Things the Market Thinks Right Now

5 Things the Market Thinks Right Now
Most money managers are guilty of only telling their side of the story—what they expect, where they see value. I know I am. But it’s always wise to know what the market itself thinks. The market is the collective wisdom (and sometimes foolishness) of the millions of self-interested buyers and sellers trading right now.
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One Big Beautiful Bill Act: One Big Step Closer to Doom (Who Cares, Right?)

One Big Beautiful Bill Act: One Big Step Closer to Doom (Who Cares, Right?)
The national debt today is over $36 trillion, representing over 100% of GDP. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projects that the debt will exceed $52 trillion by 2035. And, if history repeats, actual numbers in 2035 will exceed estimates.
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What Trump’s “Big Beautiful Tax Bill” Could Mean for You 

What Trump’s “Big Beautiful Tax Bill” Could Mean for You 
I recently reviewed the latest version of President Trump’s tax proposal, informally branded the “Big Beautiful Bill” and officially titled the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. While the name sounds more like theater than policy the proposed bill has some large ramifications for all of us.
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Why Fixed Income Needs a Steady Hand Right Now

Why Fixed Income Needs a Steady Hand Right Now
For much of the past decade, fixed income felt like an afterthought. Ultra-low interest rates meant bonds offered little income and even less value. Then came 2022—when bond prices finally cracked under the weight of distorted valuations. Even now, many investors in broad bond indexes are still waiting to break even.
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Taking Charge of Your Old 401(k)

Taking Charge of Your Old 401(k)
A rollover individual retirement account (IRA) is an account used for the transfer of assets from a previous employer-sponsored retirement plan, like a 401(k) or 403(b). If you have left your job and have an old 401(k) or 403(b), you may want to roll that money into an IRA and begin to take control of it.
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Investment Letter | April 2025

Investment Letter | April 2025
We have experienced a benign 2025 so far despite a correction in the stock market and higher volatility. Modest stock allocations and gains in insurance stocks (our single largest industry exposure), gold, and newer fixed income buys have buoyed account values.
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It’s Bad, and It’s Going to Be All Right

It’s Bad, and It’s Going to Be All Right
As far as investments and what's going on today, I'm still sleeping just fine. I think you should, too. The roadmap laid out in previous letters has been followed. Stock levels are low, and what we have is outperforming overall.
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Don’t Miss the Forest for the Trees

Don’t Miss the Forest for the Trees
I don’t think anyone expected a quiet start to the new year, but I’m not sure anyone could have predicted the flurry of shocking news stories that have flooded our devices and timelines thus far in 2025.
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Bonds Have a Place Again

Bonds Have a Place Again
In his 2011 book Debt: The First 500 Years, anthropologist David Graeber lays out the historical concept of debt, starting with the Sumer, the earliest known civilization, located in historical Mesopotamia around 3500 BCE.
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Five Years After the Bond Bubble

Five Years After the Bond Bubble
Nearly five years ago, bond yields dropped to levels never seen in the thousands of years humans have been lending to one another. The shortest maturity fixed-income securities yielded virtually zero in the U.S. and less than zero in Europe and Japan.
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Investment Letter | January 2025

Investment Letter | January 2025
2024 was another good year for stocks overall thanks to continued strength in just a handful of the largest technology and internet companies. The famed “Magnificent Seven” once again comprised the bulk of stocks’ overall returns.
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